Sunday, January 30, 2011

MAJOR WINTER STORM FORECASTED

Good evening everyone, most models and forecasters alike are agreeing that this weeks storm will unfold into, as the NWS put it, a 'dangerous and potentially life-threatening' situation. A WINTER STORM WARNING is in effect from 3AM tomorrow morning until 6AM Wednesday morning for ice, sleet, and snow accumulations. Most of the day tomorrow, the KC metro will see light freezing rain and drizzle that will make for slippery roads and some dangerous driving conditions.

By tomorrow night, the freezing rain will have tapered to flurries and the precipitation may let up for a few hours. By midnight Tuesday, however, snow will be moving in from the southwest, and over the next six to eight hours, the snow will increase in intensity. By noon on Tuesday, very heavy snow will be falling over much of the metro, and will continue through the afternoon and evening hours. It will begin to lighten up around midnight Wednesday, and should have ended for most of us by Wednesday morning. Blowing snow is possibly all day Wednesday, creating high drifts.

Here is my snowfall forecast for this week's storm:

Expect BLIZZARD CONDITIONS for most of the day Tuesday as winds will be sustained between twenty and thirty-five miles per hour, with gusts close to fifty miles per hour, leading to white-out travel conditions that may, essentially, bring travel and communication to a halt over much of the central United States before this storm moves off to the northeast.

Because of the probability of blizzard conditions, the local NWS office will consider upgrading the Winter Storm Warning to a Blizzard Warning sometime later tonight or tomorrow. Remember, a WINTER STORM WARNING means a variety of precipitation is possible, including sleet, freezing rain, and snow.

Please stay tuned to the latest forecasts, be careful traveling tomorrow as roads will be slick, and try your hardest to change any travel and work plans you may have for Tuesday morning into Wednesday morning in preparation for this massive winter storms.

2 comments:

  1. How do you acquire your information? You certainly look professional, but im not positive on whether this report is accurate.

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  2. I use a variety of sources; the same sources that professionals use when making their forecasts, including the GFS and NAM models, real time surface observations, Doppler radar data, historical information, some European models, etc...

    ReplyDelete